Asia Pacific Travel Recovery Report

GLOBAL HEALTH: PLAUSIBLE SCENARIOS AS WE END 2021 AND ENTER 2022

Earlier this year, CAPA – Centre for Aviation (CAPA) and Collinson, surveyed participants in the virtual monthly event series, CAPA Live. More than 330 responses from 64 countries were received from C-Suite and senior manager level aviation and travel experts from leading industry brands. This report analyses their opinions on the changing travel and aviation landscape post COVID-19 including airline activity and recovery, ancillary revenue, border control, COVID-19 testing, traveller passports, quarantine and traveller wellbeing.

Overall, survey respondents are mixed in their views on the outlook for global health as we enter 2022, reflecting the uncertainty of the pandemic, despite vaccine rollouts gaining pace in many markets around the world.

The following scenarios were most favoured about herd immunity being reached:

• 33% see herd immunity being reached in US, UK and a select few developed nations.
• 24% see herd immunity reached in most developed nations, but developing nations are struggling.
• 21% see only a handful of small countries reaching herd immunity, while the rest of the world (including US/UK/Europe) is still struggling.

Asia Pacific respondents have a slightly different view on herd immunity

Interestingly, while almost one-quarter (24%) of global respondents expect herd immunity to be reached in most developed nations and developing nations will continue to struggle, only 16% of Asia Pacific respondents share this view.

More than one-quarter of respondents in Asia (27%) expect only a handful of small countries to reach herd immunity and the rest of the world (including US/UK/Europe) to still be struggling as we enter 2022, but a smaller proportion (21%) of global respondents held this view.

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